Harold Gans - The Cosmic Puzzle, Part 2: Bible Codes, War and Scud Missiles

the codes war and also about scud missiles so let me go back about 30 years which is where my participation in this so-called war actually started i was visiting my cousin who lives in silver spring maryland and he was telling me he's a mathematician also as i am and he was telling me about a conference that he went to was a mathematical conference which took place in jerusalem there's an international conference just happened to take place in jerusalem and there he met an old colleague of his from university of california by the name of professor daniel michaelson and he was very surprised when he saw professor michelson because professor michaelson was not a religious person he was jewish but not religious and there he was wearing a yarmulke so my cousin went over to him and said danny is that you i mean what happened to you then he looked up at him and he said well they showed me these codes and my cousin said what codes and he told him and my cousin told me he says well they've discovered that there are codes in the torah and the five books of moses in the original hebrew of the five books of moses there are codes embedded in the text which talk about current events when my cousin told me that i said well that's crazy i mean i've never heard of anything like that that's ridiculous i i can't believe that and he said to me yeah i know it does sound really weird but i know this guy michael said he's really brilliant well i didn't know michelson so you know what i just forgot about it i figured that piece of nonsense forget about it for about a year about a year later my wife went to a class it had nothing to do with codes but the lecturer just happened to mention these codes in the torah so my wife came back she said to me uh my dear husband you know there are these i i heard that there are these codes in the torah i said oh come on forget about that i i heard about that too yeah yeah it's a bunch of nonsense and she said well my dear mathematician husband how do you know that it's nonsense but you know why would she think that i would be interested in causing the torah well aside from the fact that i'm a religious jew so obviously i'm interested in the torah but why codes you see because at the time i was a senior cryptologic mathematician for the united states department of defense my job was to invent and create the mathematical techniques that were used to break diplomatic and military codes so i was an expert with many years experience in codes so how can you not be interested codes in the torah you got to look into it okay you know let's have peace at home i'll make my wife happy i'll look into it i'll prove that it's nonsense i was sure it was nonsense but if i'm going to do a mathematical and scientific investigation bias goes out the window i start from scratch no feeling about it one way or the other i mean i think in my mind i know how it's going to come out it's going to be obvious it's going to be just nonsense but in terms of the investigation i'm investigating it as in a totally unbiased way as if i have no idea what the result is going to be well the first step was to find out what are these codes so i made a few telephone calls i connected with a rabbi uh israel tauber in muncie who told me that there's going to be an arachim seminar arakan being an israeli outreach organization and it's going to be in new york and if i was well if i wanted to come i'd be welcome to come and there would be a one talk on the codes so i decided okay it's an easy way to find out about it i'll go go here and hear a lecture on it and find out what it's all about but i wanted to make sure to bring along with me someone who is really really really smart i have to have a very very close friend and at that time he's not retired but at that time he was a senior physicist at the john hopkins applied physics laboratory and the guy's a genius his name is andy goldfinger some of you may have heard his name because he's given many lectures to project inspire in the past as well as for discovery i said andy how about we go together and find out about these codes and he said you're on so we went ahead and we drove to new york from baltimore where we both live and then we are sitting in this lecture about the codes the first thing they explained was how the codes are put into the torah how do you how do they appear and what they call them as equidistant letter sequences or els for short equidistant lettuce sequence means a sequence of letters presumably the word of the phrase that's encoded and it appears in the torah every certain certain number of letters but it's always going to be the same so it could be the distance between the first letter that's encoded and the second letter that's encoded is say 23 the distance from the second to the third will be 23 from the third to the fourth point 23 until the end of the so-called encoded word or encoded phrase could be doesn't have to be uh 23 it could be a thousand and twenty three but or two thousand and twenty four so long as the distance from the first letter to the second letter is the same as from the second to the third the third to the fourth and so on and so on okay fine now one of the things that became very clear in the beginning is that the fact that some words whatever it may be or even set of words appears in the torah in most cases is not at all interesting you see the torah has three hundred and four thousand eight hundred and five letters that's a lot of letters so if you're looking for the appearance of a four or five or six or seven or even eight letter word in hebrew you're likely to find it in fact you're likely to find it many times the fact that you find uh even a modern word like spacecraft in the you know embedded in the torah somewhere is not going to be surprising what they were claiming was surprising is where the words occur relative to each other and that is if you took two or more words that were conceptually related and i'll give you an example in just a moment that were conceptually related then you would find them in close proximity to each other now close proximity does not necessarily mean that if you were to open up a torah scroll and look for that you'd find both of them right near each other you might but you might not it has to be put on what's called a grid or a tableau and if you put it on the proper tab low all of a sudden you're going to see the two or three words like a crossword puzzle one we're going this way one we're going that way one more go across like that and so on it's well defined mathematically the relationship of proximity is well defined mathematically it just turns out that because of the way the definition is done it's possible to display it on a matrix or a grid as i just described and if you want to see pictures of what it looks like some of the things i'd be describing without showing you pictures they are in the book the cosmic puzzle as well as in some other books as well and they showed us some really impressive things at least impressive to most people for example the hebrew words for diabetes insulin pancreas all in close proximity to each other now three thousand years ago three thousand three hundred years ago or even two thousand years ago when the torah was translated into the greek and it's been in western culture ever since they probably didn't know about insulin maybe they knew about the pancreas i'm not sure but why don't they knew that there was a connection between diabetes and the pancreas then they showed us for example ago and may vilna the genius of vilner this is a very very well known famous rabbi who lived between 1720 and 1797 in the villa of course and he was an incredible genius there it is ha gowan one word may vilna another word and they're very close together not only in terms of this grid but in the torah itself if you would actually look at it you would see one going every eight letters the other one going every i think it's 12 letters or 11 letters they're really next to each other which is amazing because if you think about it you know the village didn't live until the 18th century and here in a book that's 3 300 years old or a minimum that everyone would agree with 2 000 years old you're finding these two words close together when there's 304 000 letters that it could have been anywhere why would they occur to tiny little space that's amazing by itself but when you put it on the grid you also saw the date of birth and on a different grid you saw the date of death in hebrew of course that that would be mind-blowing i mean how did someone 300 years ago know even that what his name would be and what he would be called not only that but where he when he would be born and when he would die hanukkah didn't occur until a long time after the terror was written which means greek eight days two words close together bastille you all remember the bastille right from the from the french revolution the fortress now here it's interesting it's a little different than the others because bastille occurs as an els as an equidistant lettuce sequence but it's not next to another els well it is but we're not going to talk about that but it's next to a verse and this is genesis 39 20 and the verse translated to english says the prison where the royal prisoners were kept it's talking about the story of joseph the biblical joseph being put in prison but over here it's talking about the french revolution the best deal what the best deal was so many people were impressed people go oh oh and andy and i are going nah it didn't impress us one bit and the reason was it's not scientific yeah it looks very nice but how do you know that given three hundred and four thousand eight hundred and five letters in the torah that this kind of thing doesn't just happen by itself by chance just like the appearance of the elses can happen by itself maybe the proximity of two or three lessers could also happen by itself just by chance randomly unless you approach it in a purely scientific way and have a way of measuring the proximity and measuring the odds of it happening the probability that it can happen as opposed to happening by chance it's not scientific it's purely subjective and the true scientist the mathematician wants it to be truly objective so what happened was that people noticed that andy and i were sort of going like that and eventually stopped looking at the presentation and they started looking at us each time as soon as they'd see what it is they look to us and we would go like that it was very uncomfortable for the presenter but then he showed us something even more interesting to us not to everybody else perhaps but to the scientist the physicist and to the mathematician and that was a apparently scientific experiment that was done called the great rabbi's experiment it's also known as wrr for wisdom rips and rosenberg wisdom and rips being the two people who conceived of the whole experiment and you have rosenberg being the one who did the software what they did was to make it scientific they the first thing they did is they wanted to get the names of a lot of rabbis famous rabbis and they're going to search for them to see are they close to the dates of birth and dates of death not like the vilna gohan which was just one pulled out of the hat this is going to be taken out of an encyclopedia it's encyclopedia of great men of israel between the 9th and the 18th centuries so they're going to take the name and also his appellations now what's meant by an appellation we said before remember we talked about hugo and me vilna or sometimes known as the vilna gohan that's his appellation that's not really his name this real name real name is rabbi elijah bin zalman but his appellation that he's better known by the appellation is the vil the villain or may vilna uh the same kind of thing with the rambam rambam is an appalachian that's not his name his name is robbie mosher ben myman so so the the commonly known appellations that went with each other are also used and then versus the dates of birth and the dates of death and see how close do they come in proximity according to this mathematical measure looked like a perfectly good scientific experiment and when we looked at that andy and i went we were uh at least impressed for the moment for the moment requires going through it very very carefully we hadn't done that yet at the end of the lecture i asked the lecturer who i believe was sv involved but i'm not sure of arachim we asked him could we get a copy they told me there was a preprint that they had submitted this for publication there was a preprint of the cut of the paper i said can we get a copy of the of the preprint which we did and we studied it and we didn't find any mathematical mistakes in it everything seemed absolutely fine so we were so impressed that afterward impressed not only with the codes but also with a lot of the other material they presented which is also presented in discovery seminars that when discovery seminar came to baltimore andy and i decided to take our wives to see all this material as well and the presenter was someone from israel did a very good job presenting and i went over to the people running the seminar and i said to them you know if you need someone to present the codes i'm an expert in codes i can present this material and they said uh thank you very much uh you know don't call us we'll call you well sure enough a few weeks later they called me and they called andy you see because what happened was that the presenter who was a mathematician had mathematical training lived in israel he became sick he was unable to come and they had several seminars coming up so they needed someone to take his place very very fast and so andy and i took his place andy with some of the seminars i and some of the others so here i am giving these these lectures and eric coopersmith rabbi eric cooper smith who was at that time the head of discovery in north america approached me and he said um you know we feel extremely uncomfortable that wisdom and rips are the only people in the entire world who have done this experiment we would like to see um you do it too but you have the expertise you have your technology we'll give you a computer your first computer first home computer and go ahead and reproduce this experiment and see if it really works how do we know that that experiment that really works just because they say so maybe they just invented all the results okay i didn't think so but it was a valid idea and so i went ahead and did it and it worked i got the same results as wisdom and ribs and i had a chill go up my spine i thought to myself wait a minute wait a minute wait a minute this is my computer in my house and here i am getting the same result wow see there must have been a little bit of doubt in my mind even though they had given me a disc of genesis the book the experiment was done only on genesis so that was the only part of the five books of moses that was then on disc on a digitized version they give it to me earlier i assume they wouldn't have given me the disc if they uh had thought that i would find out that the whole thing was a hoax and then in 1994 they published a paper in statistical science testicle science is one of the premier journals and statistics one of the premium mathematical journals in the entire world august 1994 now the they had to do an experiment a second time to satisfy the peer reviewers let me explain about peer review unlike a magazine where the editors take a look at it it sounds nice it looks good they'll print it they may have want to look at it make sure it's true check it out you know but with a scientific journal they have people who are scientists or mathematicians in the same field as the author and they're going to go through it with a fine-tooth comb and ensure that there are no mistakes if there are any mistakes they'll ask them to correct it if they can't correct mistakes they won't allow it to be published so here it passed peer review but in order to do that they had to do the experiment the second time on a new data set from the same encyclopedia the same idea everything the same the same formulas the only thing is instead of taking rabbis ahead between uh three columns of text written about them and up they took one and a half columns of text to three columns of text so it was a totally disjoint set of rabbis approximately the same one of them was had 34 rabbis one of them had 32 rabbis other than that everything is the same and they also had to set a threshold of a probability now what does this mean you see there are two possibilities when you see something unusual either it's unusual but it could happen by chance doesn't happen very often but it does happen by chance take a rainbow you don't see a rainbow every day you probably don't even see a rainbow every month or maybe even not even every year but it is a perfectly natural event that it does just happen when things are right so maybe the same thing over here may not be uh very significant but it doesn't happen very often but it does happen so we want to know how improbable does it have to be before we believe that what you're saying is true that it's not just random it does not just happen by chance now the threshold that's set uh for most papers for many many papers uh especially medical papers like the new england journal of medicine used to be one in twenty not a very very small threshold means one that means that one out of every twenty times you may have a random result which i don't know how much confidence it gives you in the medical profession but they are changing so now they're saying well you know they even back then days they would say sometimes they say well this is really important 100 okay that means that 99 confident that this didn't happen by chance and evaluating some medication or treatment and so on there have been calls to go to one in 500. okay because they say 120 is not enough 1 to 500. but for this the referees the peer reviewers set the threshold at one in a thousand now that is not fair and the fact is it is absolutely fair it's correct that's right and you know why because extraordinary results require extraordinary evidence and what they're saying is this thing is so incredible if it's true namely that there are things about rabbis who wouldn't live until the at least the 9th century up until the 18th century encoded in a book that everyone agrees is a minimum of 2000 years old doesn't make sense the names of the rabbis the dates of birth dates of death no way you want us to believe that this is true to be able to publish it in our journal and not get laughed at one in a thousand if it's not smaller or equal to one in a thousand then we're not going to publish it so if you get one in 500 we're going to say yeah could be chance yeah very unusual but we don't believe it enough to publish it one in a thousand or one in two thousand or three thousand yes that's significant enough we're gonna publish it well the experiment didn't get one in a thousand or what in two thousand i wanted five thousand it might got one in sixty two thousand five hundred that's 62 times stronger more than 62 times stronger than what the referees required in order to establish that yes we believe this enough that we're going to publish it and so it was published in statistical science in august of 1994 and at that time was the heyday of discovery that we had the codes it was very very powerful people saw it it was published past peer review people believed in it and it's amazing it shows you that the torah couldn't have been written by humans because what you could have had this information two or three thousand years ago and then after evaluating wrr i decided to go one step further i said you know what if the these names are encoded with their dates of birth and death maybe they're also encoded with the cities of birth and death and so i decided to go ahead and use the names of the communities the jewish names of the community just like we used the hebrew names just these hebrew names for um the dates and isc in baal to go through and get the information for me from the from two encyclopedias hebrew encyclopedias the uh encyclopedia hebraica and the original encyclopedia that was used for wrr for the great rabbis experiment um and i finished that experiment i got a probability not at one sixty two thousand five hundred but one in two hundred and fifty thousand it's odds of two hundred and fifty thousand to one that this just happened by chance it was a it was a tremendous success a smashing success sometimes things can be too successful because it aroused a lot of people who wanted to prove that terror codes weren't true we call them the critics and they succeeded in publishing a paper in statistical science the same journal in may of 1999 which was called solving the torah codes or the bible codes puzzle and they claimed to find out how was it done it was a hoax it was a hoax and they go on to great detail to explain how the hoax was perpetrated now there are several parts to there are basically two parts to their argument one part is certain what they what they call circumstantial evidence which shows that there was a hoax they claimed no probabilities so it's not scientific which is why they don't say this is the result and here's the probability this is the probability that this could have happened by chance as opposed to effected as a hoax they just call it circumstantial evidence it's supposed to convince you without giving you any scientific information at all and of course it's flawed i have documented all the flaws in these papers and posted it on the internet but then they did something even more interesting what they did was they did their own great rabbis experiment which was a hoax what they did was they did it not on the book of genesis but on the book of war and peace and they claimed look we did the same thing in war and peace so they could have done the same thing in genesis what we did in war and peace and what they did was they manipulated not the names but the appalachians remember we talked about the appellations well each rabbis had many appellations for example we talked about robbie eliot and zalman one of his applications is the is is uh the vilna going or go in may vilna in hebrew but there's another appalachian that's the gra so each rabbit could have several appellations what they do is they would go all the appalachians that are present anywhere in the rabbinic literature even if it's not common even if no one never knew about it they found some source that claimed this was in appellation they would take it and then they would test each one to see which ones work and which ones don't work and they would pick more of the ones that work then don't work to bias the probability that what's going to come out in the end of course if you have data which is flawed going in you're going to have board results coming out data in you know sorry garbage in garbage out as they say in software now of course there were some appellations they couldn't change like rambam there's no way you could change my everyone knows rambam so that they had to leave intact so there were some good ones there but they mixed in enough bad ones so that something which should have come out looking just purely random came up looking almost exactly the same as the great rabbi's experiment except i'm worried they said we did the same thing and we didn't work that what they're really saying is not that we did the same they didn't do the same thing what they're claiming is look we did a hoax they didn't hide that they said of course we got homes there's no codes in war and peace but since we were able to perpetrate a hoax that looks authentic they which them and ribs could have also perpetrated a hoax that looks authentic except that they did their hoax in the book of genesis and this was a valid complaint now it turns out that if you're really really knowledgeable about appellations bibliography and so forth and so on you can and we had several experts do this you could see the difference between the two the one done for the great rabbis experiment on genesis that one one voracious that one is using appellations that they will agree that yeah this is the right one to use whereas the other one is just like i never heard of that one well here's the source i've never heard of that it doesn't appear anywhere else but you have to be knowledgeable in a very very very small section of rabbinic literature in terms of appellations and what they're used for and how they're used in order to see the difference now another problem they had was the city's experiment i mean even if you say that the great rabbi's experiment was a hoax what about the city's experiment well you know what they just dismissed it they ignored it they say oh gans you know he's got another version of it we haven't seen it goodbye which was not true now i also presented counterfeit codes what's a counterfeit code it looks in the matrix and the grid it looks real it looks just like all the others when you evaluate the probability it's not significant at all so it looks real but it's not then you can check mathematically and see that it's not real but for the general public who doesn't know the math behind it it looks just as good as any of the others another point about this uh publication in uh statistical science in may of 1999 is that general practice is that when someone tries to rebut to rebut a paper to say that there's a fatal flaw in some paper and they're going to publish it in the same journal the journal will always give an opportunity to the original author to read beforehand to read what they have to say about it that they're trying to say he's wrong and then to offer a response to them and if he does offer a response then the response would be published along with the paper rebutting theirs fair right someone says you're wrong he's got to tell you why you're wrong and you've got to be able to answer him so of course wisdom went ahead and wrote the statistical sciences and i hear that you're about to publish a paper by uh by the critics saying that my paper is a hoax i would like to respond have a response published also and he said of course that's normal practice but then the paper came out and mr mother said what happened over here you you never allowed me to respond this year we changed our mind so that's why there was no response and as a result of that the public in general decided that the torah codes have been refuted the critics had won the pr war they hadn't won the mathematical war but they did find an interesting flaw in the great rabbis experiment namely you had to be an expert in a very very specific field in order to evaluate and there are very few people who are now the cities experiment is very very interesting one that they ignored and we'll see why they ignored it it was designed as i indicated before by tv involved but he did it differently than the great rabbis experiment yes it was the same rabbi's names and appellations but when he's putting in the cities he developed an algorithm there was no human choice involved anymore it was an algorithm you go to this encyclopedia you get this information go to that encyclopedia you do this you compare if it's the same you do this if it's not the same you do that step by step by step by step there's no human choice involved in developing what the cities are what their names are what their hebrew names are what the spellings of the hebrew names are and so on all done or they could actually program a computer to do it another interesting thing about the city's experiment is that there's a logical connection between them because of the fact that the rabbi's names in appellations are exactly the same in both the cities experiment and the great rabbis experiment logically you can show that if the city's experiments succeeds which it did it implies logically that the original great rabbis experiment was not a hoax and now we understand why the critics just ignored the city's experiment they didn't mention it they just mentioned that if they hadn't seen it i had withdrawn of some version of it i was making a new version they haven't seen it and that was the end of it so people believed and i think to a great extent still believe that the terror codes are false that was a hoax well anyway since then we learned a good lesson all the researchers on how to do it properly so that it can't be a hoax and you can demonstrate that it can't be a hoax and many new scientific experiments were done that succeeded with a calculated probability unlike the count of the codes where they don't show you the probability because that would show you right away why it's a counterfeit so for example the twin towers this code was discovered by professor eli yahoo rips who took keywords out of the headline of the hebrew of the israeli newspaper marev on september 12 2001 that's one day after the twin terrorist attack so there's a headline talking about the attack on the twin towers what do they find a terrorist attack airplanes pamayum twice these are answering the key questions what happened a terrorist attack where the twin towers how with airplanes and twice not just once the probability remember the threshold for believing this and getting it published is one in a thousand the probability that he got for that was one in nineteen thousand four hundred and fifty five not more than nineteen times more significant than was needed for publication and it was accepted for publication in the proceedings of the 18th international conference on pattern recognition which is an international mathematics organization it takes place in a different venue every year that year it happened to be in hong kong in 2006. so it did pass peer review another one about the twin towers was discovered by art levitt again the twin towers ishmael the arabs the 23rd of the hebrew month of ello which in the year 2001 is september 11th so there's the exact date of the terrorist attack this was published in the second inter national interdisciplinary conference on fundamental and applied aspects of speech and language in belgrade in the winter of 2004. now an interesting thing about this code is that similar to the code about the prison where the royal prisoners were kept it's a visit it's close to also a verse next to these three words by the way the probability is one in a hundred thousand hundred thousand to one that this just happened by chance so we're not talking about random occurrences the verse that it's near is exodus 32 28 about 3 000 people fell on that day telling you approximately how many people why approximately why not exact there's a little bit more than three thousand i think that's because it's also talking about an event that happened three thousand three hundred years ago and the two numbers are not the same but they're both close to three thousand so the same sentence the same verse has got to cover two different historical events and it does one three thousand three hundred years ago and one in 2001. then a code about bin laden this is a very unusual code was discovered by dr schwartzman and then later extended by art levitt it's a single long phrase 29 letters long the longest what we call co-linear code not two things near each other not two elses near each other one long long one very unusual it's the longest that's ever been found and it says i have named you destruction now is just not to name like you name an arbitrary object it's to name the something by its essence it's like if you call it somebody oh he's a brain it means his essence is brain he's very very smart that's his essence he's great brain his essence is destruction already continues auror bin laden bin laden is cursed now interestingly enough the first reading of that seems to indicate we don't really know what these mean but the first reading seems to indicate that the messiah will read vengeance on bin laden so we checked with several mukbar lim experts in kabbalah in aries israel in israel and every single one of them three different ones all said the same thing no that we do not we don't know for sure but we don't think that that's at all what it means what it means is that mashiach will revengence on the whole subject of what bin laden stands for terrorism whatever else but not just specifically bin laden this was published also through peer review not once but twice because there were two different methods that were used the second method was a much more exact method than the first so the first one was published in belgrade in 2004 the second one in hong kong in 2006. probability one in two million five hundred thousand two million five hundred thousand to one that this just happened and by the way in the text right nearby he is a murderer he shall surely die numbers 35 17. some of you may remember march 11 2011 the fukushima daiichi nuclear crisis a earthquake causes a uh tsunami which then causes a meltdown in a nuclear reactor in japan this was discovered by dr uh robert harolick nuclear crisis atomic crisis japan japan one tableau the hey other bags on the fifth of the hebrew month of other two are their baes which equivalence to 2011 to march 11th so there's the exact date the cause of the nuclear reaction of the nuclear meltdown the fact that it was a nuclear meltdown and it was in japan probability one in six thousand fifty four now this is not the probability that professor haralek uh publishes um because i reevaluate all these things according to my own criteria which are usually stricter than most of the others so i decided no it's not really whatever he said it's really one in six thousand but that's very good it's again six times stronger than with the critics i'm sorry that what the peer review is we require some of you may remember the attacks on mumbai uh formerly known as bombay november 26 terrorist attack and hotels train station and under kabad this was discovered by motion cats and then extended by their own wisdom at the cavette islami terror islamic terrorist attack the bombay in bombay the base khabad in the house of chabad in the probability one in six hundred and sixty six thousand six hundred and sixty six thousand to one that that happened just by chance but there's more you see there was also a picture published on the internet of a lot of the things that happened at beth one of them was that a stray bullet from a terrorist's gun tore through a safety torah and to show it to you they picked one of the pages that it tore through and they show you the torn page of the saphen torah page with a tear in it caused by the bullet going through it turns out that the code is right there that bullet hall was right in the middle of that these words that i just gave you 3 300 years ago god knew there was going to be this terrorist attack and that a stray bullet from the terrorist gun is going to go through the safety torah and this particular page that was taught is going to be put on the internet for all to see it's right at the beginning of partial i had a case of someone in yerushalayim who saw this the first time and he had to be helped out of the room he had to be calm down he was shaking after he had seen this now we talked about the code sometimes being next to verses we didn't measure that probability but did he constructed a very very clever but intricate experiment which he was able to show that indeed many elses if equidistant letter sequences are indeed encoded next to verses that deal with a similar subject and it was a very objective experiment uh it was published in hong kong in 2006 probability 16 million to one that that could be just chance and very important the city's experiment was also published in hong kong in 2006 one of the things that was explicitly said in that paper number one the experiment was constructed in a way that it could not be thanked peer reviews agreed to that number two the experiment succeeded two hundred and fifty thousand to one they agreed to that too and number three that because of this similar structure between the city's experiment and the great rabbi's experiment the success of the city's experiment implies that the great rabbis experiment was not a hoax it was real and they agreed to that too and by the way these are all explicitly stated in the paper and not only that but in the references i referenced the website and the paper the statistical science 1999 paper of the critics so that the peer reviewers of this paper in hong kong who could look at what the critics had to say and make sure that what i was saying was absolutely correct even given what the critics said about both wr or anything else and then a new result new result 2020 another fantastic result by the roman victim published in baghdad number 35 that's the journal of torah and scholarship of varilan university also a peer-reviewed journal now just imagine the following situation imagine that you had a book you were reading a book and you noticed after reading 20 pages that every single page began with the letter a that's very unusual so you go back and check it sure enough every one of the 20 pages the first word or the first letter on the page is an a so now you have a question did that just happen by chance or did the typesetter purposefully do that for whatever reason and you know i'd say 20 days in a row it's pretty clear it's not chance but let's assume that you still have the question how would you check that and it turns out there's a very very simple check and it's the most powerful statistical check of all and that is you have more data assuming the book is more than 20 pages might be two or three or four or 500 pages continue reading continue looking at the pages do they continue having aaa at the beginning of every page if they do you know for sure that the typesetter did it or the author did it and told the typesetter to make sure that this happens if it doesn't continue well then you have a question how do we get 20 a's in a row like that i mean it's very unusual but you have no proof so to speak that it didn't happen by chance winston did the same thing with the book of genesis you see the book of genesis is 78 000 64 letters long he said you know what the torah is much longer there's much more data let's take a look at the next 78 064 letters and he puts them together and looks for codes that are we already know about the ones that are in the first 78 000 so we don't want to include those so he gets around that in a very clever way he's looking only at the codes that are in the second half or in span from one half to the other and what he finds is guess what the codes are there as well and he gets a probability of forty two to one one in one thousand forty two enough to pass the peer reviewers and it was published the simplest most powerful test and it shows that the great rabbis experiment was not a fake it's real because you know what if you do the same exact test on the critics war and peace take the next 78 000 64 letters of war and peace and do the same thing nothing it doesn't show up at all because it's a fake it was only fake for the first 78 064 it wasn't fake for the next 78 thousand 64. but this is not a fake because not only did it work here it works there as well not only that if you take the two the first 78 000 and the second 78 000 and you switch the order it doesn't work either they've got to be in the right order so what we now have is you don't have to be a specialist in appellations and bibliography and so on you have a mathematical test that can distinguish between a counterfeit and real and guess what the wrr the great rabbis experiment is real and the one that the critics did on war and peace is a hoax and you can show it mathematically who could have done it who could have had this information exact places at dates of birth and death of people who lived after the 19th century in a minimum 2 000 year old document probably 3 300 year old document that's according to tradition but if you even if you don't believe the tradition everyone agrees it's minimum 2000 years old well in california the response would be oh maybe aliens did it they had some kind of a super advanced technology and they're able to do that kind of thing you know what i can prove that it can't be done not by file keeping within the laws of nature using the the heisenberg uncertainty principle of quantum mechanics and chaos theory one can demonstrate and i do that in the endnotes of the book not in the main part of the book that's not the that's this part is non-scientists but i do show how it's done uh you can prove that even aliens should they exist i don't they do exist or not but even if they did exist they couldn't do it because it's breaking the laws of nature another possibility is time travel you have to be able to travel back in time that forward forward is easy not technologically easy but you know you could put a person into suspended animation if he survives he wakes up a thousand years later that kind of thing but going back into the past can be done and it can be proven that it can't be done there's something called the grandfather paradox um that actually shows that if you assume that you can go back in time you get a paradox a contradiction which in uh formal uh mathematical logic is called reductive ad absurdum means that you've reduced your assumption that you can go back in time to something absurd which means you can't go back in time which means that only hashem could have done it now that was three thousand three hundred years ago where's hashem today is he still involved in what's going on in the world to see you don't have to look what's happening necessarily but what didn't happen let's take the persian gulf war january through february 1991 39 scuds only two people were killed i say only because you'll see later but two people is terrible but there were only two people killed many more could have been killed from 39 scuds and 11 were seriously injured miracle some people say yes and some people say no who knows well first of all only at the only 14 exploded in residential areas of haifa and tel aviv the rest of them were shot down by patriots fell into the wilderness fell into the mediterranean and so on in order to get an idea of what you expect you have to take a look and see what happened outside of israel see is it any different so in israel we have 14 scuds killed two people how many people are killed elsewhere january through february 1991 five scuds in riyad and dhara on saudi arabia 29 people are killed october 27 1982 one scud does fill iran 21 people are killed 21 from one scud as opposed to two from fourteen scuds you see the difference april fourth 1985 once god in bhaktaran iran 25 people are killed may 11 1994 once cut in yemen 25 people are killed april 4th 1985 once got in ramadan iran 11 people was killed may 22nd 1994 once got in agan yemen six people that's the smallest number of people that i found killed by a scud outside of israel the smallest and in israel two scuds i mean sorry two people are killed from fourteen scots may 24 1994 another scud in santa yemen 13 people are killed october 21st 1999 two scuds in grozny chechnya one of them kills 27 people the other one killed 17 people february 19 2013 forced gods between aleppo and tao we fought syria 141 people killed by horse gods march 29 2013 once got in syria 20 people are killed and by the way this is a complete list this was all the places i could find where there was a scud exploding in a residential area anywhere in the world i searched through the entire internet looking for it in many many ways and which we know how many people were killed by that scud so in israel we have 14 scars killing two people outside of israel we have 18 scuds killing 335 people the average number of people being killed in israel per scud is .1 outside of israel it's 18.6 you see a difference we're talking about over 180 times more people being killed for scud outside of israel than inside of israel in fact it attracted the attention of scientists there was a paper published in the british journal nature it's a scientific journal by the premier scientific journals in the world january 28 1993 by fedor lewis and grondland the title was why were stud casualties so low they noticed it was too small the number of people that were killed two but they have a formula they have a formula for which you can compute how many people did you expect to be killed all you need to do is put into the formula certain things like for example how big was the warhead what's the population density did the people have warning that the missile is coming in and so on two people killed 24.2 people were expected to be killed eleven was seriously wounded but the formula predicts that 70.4 should have been seriously wounded 28 buildings containing 180 18 occupied apartments they were occupied because people were in their sealed rooms afraid of gas gas bombs gas missiles poison gas instead of in basements and in the shelters so 118 occupy departments completely destroyed in tel aviv 2493 apartments heavily damaged in tel aviv 1 700 apartments heavily damaged in haifa by the way the number of buildings destroyed and seriously damaged fits the formula the buildings are not protected the buildings are going down like anywhere else but not the people not the people inside the in the paper itself in the scientific paper the authors pose the following question and i quote why is it that less people die in israel from 14 scuds and die anywhere else from a single scud that's an amazing idea they didn't calculate the probabilities they should have i don't know why they didn't i think they were afraid to or maybe they did and they decided not to publish it but i calculated the probabilities the probability of expecting 24.2 people to be killed and only two people getting killed 102 million to one the number of injured 11 people injured but you expected 70.4 probability 600 billion people uh i'm sorry 600 billion to one that's incredible and scientific because it's repeatable take a look at the 2006 war hezbollah hezbollah war between 3970 and 428 katyusha rockets fired into the north of israel counting only the ones that landed in residential areas and exploded 53 people killed but you expected 131.8 the odds 203 trillion to one seriously injured 250 but you expected 387.3 18 trillion to one 2008 the gaza war tactician rockets and kasams i assumed all kasams because they're the smaller of the missiles so we're going to get an underestimate because they didn't indicate how many what percentage were katushas and one the suns i just assumed orthosoms number of people killed 15 number of people expected to be killed 58.4 probability 1 in 54 billion who can ensure that occupied buildings held by a tremendous blast collapsing burying people underneath and no one is hurt two people killed from 14 skies you know what that means 12 times a stud comes down blows up a building collapses people are buried and everyone comes out and no one is killed everywhere else eighteen point three people would be killed for each scot but over here no one is killed twelve times and then two times it's got kills one person instead of eighteen if you combine all the probabilities across these three different wars for the number of killed you get you get a probability it's a decimal point and 29 zeros and a two twenty nine zero zero two the number of injured it's 29 zeros you have to the decimal point and a six those are incredibly small probabilities it didn't happen by chance so we see hashem then 3 300 years ago doing something which is totally beyond the laws of nature for telling the future in fine detail which is what the prophets tell us people tell you the end from the beginning you start the beginning they'll tell you what's going to happen even if it's 3 300 years later from the last lecture we know that he also created life we know that he authored the torah and he's in control of current events no one else could possibly have decided how many people are going to be killed and no people is going to be killed 12 times when building explodes and collapses on top of everybody thank you very much for your attention again this talk is just a small piece of uh the book the cosmic puzzle a scientific investigation into the existence of god by harold gans um you can get a lot more details in the book um many more statistics for those who are not scientists all the statistics are at the end so if you don't want to look at the numbers and the statistics it's not there if you want to see them you want to see how the computations are done all the formulas all in the back the endnotes thank